Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000242 0.000270 0.000300 0.000335 0.000374 0.000417 0.000468
2025-02-09 0.000187 0.000226 0.000271 0.000330 0.000402 0.000489 0.000604
2025-02-16 0.000158 0.000202 0.000257 0.000332 0.000433 0.000565 0.000752
2025-02-23 0.000135 0.000181 0.000242 0.000329 0.000453 0.000625 0.000886
2025-03-02 0.000121 0.000168 0.000233 0.000331 0.000478 0.000693 0.001040
2025-03-09 0.000108 0.000155 0.000223 0.000330 0.000497 0.000753 0.001189
2025-03-16 0.000094 0.000140 0.000207 0.000315 0.000492 0.000776 0.001281
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000132 0.000201 0.000317 0.000513 0.000840 0.001452
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000129 0.000202 0.000329 0.000552 0.000939 0.001699
2025-04-06 0.000076 0.000120 0.000193 0.000322 0.000556 0.000978 0.001841
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000109 0.000179 0.000305 0.000541 0.000980 0.001910
2025-04-20 0.000063 0.000105 0.000175 0.000307 0.000560 0.001047 0.002122
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000104 0.000177 0.000320 0.000603 0.001171 0.002482
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000098 0.000171 0.000317 0.000614 0.001232 0.002718
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000094 0.000168 0.000320 0.000638 0.001324 0.003047
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000090 0.000163 0.000317 0.000650 0.001391 0.003327
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000086 0.000160 0.000319 0.000672 0.001483 0.003694
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000083 0.000156 0.000318 0.000687 0.001564 0.004045
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000077 0.000147 0.000304 0.000671 0.001564 0.004177
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000074 0.000145 0.000305 0.000692 0.001661 0.004607
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000074 0.000147 0.000317 0.000738 0.001832 0.005303
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000070 0.000141 0.000310 0.000737 0.001875 0.005612
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000065 0.000132 0.000294 0.000711 0.001848 0.005681